Trump Economy Tracker

Tracking the Trump economy with economic data. Housing costs, consumer prices, investments, and key indicators — updated daily from FRED & BLS.

Last updated: May 12, 2026, 10:10 AM

KEY METRICS

Biggest Movers Since Inauguration

The 6 indicators that have moved the most in a negative direction since Jan 20, 2025

Diesel Price

+51.8%

vs. Jan '25 baseline

Regular Gas Price

+43.2%

vs. Jan '25 baseline

Midgrade Gas Price

+43.0%

vs. Jan '25 baseline

Premium Gas Price

+35.1%

vs. Jan '25 baseline

Crude Oil Price (WTI)

+33.2%

vs. Jan '25 baseline

Personal Savings Rate

-30.8%

vs. Jan '25 baseline

Affordability Overview

All economic indicators since Jan 2025

+3.3%

Inflation since Jan '25

🍔 Food & Groceries

Nonalcoholic Beverages

Major ↓🚨

-37.0%

since Jan '25'

-44.7%

year over year · Mar '26

279.0current

Coffee

Major ↑🚨

+21.6%

since Jan '25'

+18.7%

year over year · Mar '26

296.5current

Beef

↑ Rise

+16.2%

since Jan '25'

+12.1%

year over year · Mar '26

504.9current

Flour

↑ Rise

+10.0%

since Jan '25'

+10.6%

year over year · Mar '26

227.1current

Cooking Oil / Fats

↑ Rise

+7.3%

since Jan '25'

+7.7%

year over year · Mar '26

224.2current

Sugar & Sweets

↑ Rise

+4.8%

since Jan '25'

+6.0%

year over year · Mar '26

368.5current

Eggs

+4.6%

since Jan '25'

+3.8%

year over year · Mar '26

392.7current

Food Overall

+3.4%

since Jan '25'

+2.7%

year over year · Mar '26

346.8current

Cereal

+2.7%

since Jan '25'

+3.7%

year over year · Mar '26

201.3current

Fruits & Vegetables

+2.5%

since Jan '25'

+2.9%

year over year · Mar '26

294.6current

Food away from home

+2.4%

since Jan '25'

+1.7%

year over year · Mar '26

299.7current

Poultry

-1.5%

since Jan '25'

-1.6%

year over year · Mar '26

268.0current

Dairy Products

↑ Rise

+1.1%

since Jan '25'

+0.5%

year over year · Mar '26

271.7current

Alcoholic Beverages

↑ Rise

+1.1%

since Jan '25'

+0.3%

year over year · Mar '26

231.8current

Rice

↓ Drop

-0.6%

since Jan '25'

-0.5%

year over year · Mar '26

269.8current

Wheat Price Index

-0.2%

since Jan '25'

+4.2%

year over year · Mar '26

165.6current

🏠 Housing & Utilities

Residential Natural Gas – National

Major ↑🚨

+16.2%

since Jan '25'

+16.2%

year over year · Feb '26

15.07current

Water / Sewer

↑ Rise

+10.0%

since Jan '25'

+8.5%

year over year · Mar '26

734.0current

Natural Gas

↑ Rise

+9.1%

since Jan '25'

+6.4%

year over year · Mar '26

268.5current

Energy / Utilities

+6.8%

since Jan '25'

+5.0%

year over year · Mar '26

293.0current

Electricity

+6.1%

since Jan '25'

+4.6%

year over year · Mar '26

299.0current

Trash Collection / Waste

+6.0%

since Jan '25'

+4.7%

year over year · Mar '26

328.8current

Rent

+3.7%

since Jan '25'

+3.0%

year over year · Mar '26

424.4current

Homeowners Insurance

+3.7%

since Jan '25'

+3.1%

year over year · Mar '26

437.1current

Internet

↑ Rise

+1.3%

since Jan '25'

+1.0%

year over year · Mar '26

175.0current

🚗 Transportation

Diesel Price

Major ↑🚨

+51.8%

since Jan '25'

+61.3%

year over year · May '26

$5.64/galcurrent

Regular Gas Price

Major ↑🚨

+43.2%

since Jan '25'

+41.5%

year over year · May '26

$4.45/galcurrent

Midgrade Gas Price

Major ↑🚨

+43.0%

since Jan '25'

+42.0%

year over year · May '26

$4.30/galcurrent

Premium Gas Price

Major ↑🚨

+35.1%

since Jan '25'

+32.7%

year over year · May '26

$5.40/galcurrent

Gasoline

Major ↑🚨

+19.7%

since Jan '25'

+19.2%

year over year · Mar '26

331.0current

Airline Fares

-7.3%

since Jan '25'

-4.0%

year over year · Mar '26

0.9current

Public Transportation

↑ Rise

+6.7%

since Jan '25'

+10.2%

year over year · Mar '26

282.4current

Car Parts

+3.3%

since Jan '25'

+3.9%

year over year · Mar '26

189.1current

Used Cars

-2.8%

since Jan '25'

-3.2%

year over year · Mar '26

176.2current

New Vehicles

↓ Drop

-0.9%

since Jan '25'

-0.9%

year over year · Mar '26

123.7current

Car Insurance

↑ Rise

+0.6%

since Jan '25'

+0.5%

year over year · Mar '26

179.0current

🏥 Healthcare

Health Insurance

↑ Rise

+8.0%

since Jan '25'

+6.4%

year over year · Mar '26

1198.7current

Dental Services

↑ Rise

+7.3%

since Jan '25'

+7.2%

year over year · Mar '26

646.9current

Prescription Drugs

+3.1%

since Jan '25'

+2.4%

year over year · Mar '26

437.3current

Medical Care

↑ Rise

-0.8%

since Jan '25'

+0.3%

year over year · Mar '26

414.0current

📚 Education

Childcare / Daycare

↑ Rise

+6.9%

since Jan '25'

+6.2%

year over year · Mar '26

245.5current

College Tuition

+3.1%

since Jan '25'

+2.8%

year over year · Mar '26

907.2current

Education

+3.1%

since Jan '25'

+2.8%

year over year · Mar '26

315.3current

👔 Personal & Clothing

Tobacco / Cigarettes

↑ Rise

+8.7%

since Jan '25'

+7.4%

year over year · Mar '26

1731.4current

Pet Food

↑ Rise

+8.5%

since Jan '25'

+6.2%

year over year · Mar '26

439.6current

Clothing

+7.9%

since Jan '25'

+3.4%

year over year · Mar '26

138.6current

Personal Care Products

+5.1%

since Jan '25'

+3.1%

year over year · Mar '26

298.0current

Household Furnishings

+4.8%

since Jan '25'

+4.0%

year over year · Mar '26

155.4current

Recreation

+2.7%

since Jan '25'

+2.2%

year over year · Mar '26

143.9current

Lodging Away from Home

↑ Rise

+1.6%

since Jan '25'

+0.5%

year over year · Mar '26

602.3current

📊 Housing Metrics

New Construction (Median $)

↓ Drop

-6.7%

since Jan '25'

-6.2%

year over year · Mar '26

$387,400current

Resale Home (Median $)

-4.7%

since Jan '25'

-4.7%

year over year · Jan '26

$403,200current

Case-Shiller Home Price Index

↑ Rise

+0.7%

since Jan '25'

+0.7%

year over year · Feb '26

327.3current

👷 Jobs & Employment

Initial Jobless Claims

↓ Drop

-10.3%

since Jan '25'

-12.3%

year over year · May '26

200Kcurrent

U6 Unemployment Rate

+2.5%

since Jan '25'

+5.1%

year over year · Apr '26

8.20%current

Temp Workers

-1.9%

since Jan '25'

-1.7%

year over year · Apr '26

2Kcurrent

Multiple Job Holders

↑ Rise

+0.4%

since Jan '25'

+5.5%

year over year · Apr '26

5Kcurrent

Total Nonfarm Payrolls

↑ Rise

+0.3%

since Jan '25'

+0.2%

year over year · Apr '26

159Kcurrent

JOLTS Layoffs & Discharges

Major ↑🚨

0.0%

since Jan '25'

+17.1%

year over year · Mar '26

2Kcurrent

📊 Consumer Sentiment

Consumer Sentiment (U of M)

↓ Drop

-17.6%

since Jan '25'

-6.5%

year over year · Mar '26

53.3current

🛒 Spending & Retail

Retail Sales

+5.7%

since Jan '25'

+4.0%

year over year · Mar '26

752,063current

E-Commerce Retail Sales

+3.5%

since Jan '25'

+5.1%

year over year · Jul '25

310,274current

💰 Income

Real Disposable Income

↑ Rise

+1.1%

since Jan '25'

+0.4%

year over year · Mar '26

18,108.7current

💳 Consumer Debt

Consumer Credit Outstanding

+4.7%

since Jan '25'

+5.0%

year over year · Apr '26

1,091.899current

Household Debt Service Ratio

+2.0%

since Jan '25'

+1.8%

year over year · Oct '25

11.32%current

🚗 Auto Sales

Total Vehicle Sales

↓ Drop

+1.7%

since Jan '25'

-9.0%

year over year · Mar '26

16.7Mcurrent

📉 Inflation Expectations

10Y Breakeven Inflation Rate

+3.4%

since Jan '25'

+3.4%

year over year · May '26

2.45%current